South Florida vs Louisville 10/20/2012

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Louisville is a solid favorite with a 75% chance to beat South Florida. Senorise Perry is projected for 87 rushing yards and a 67% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 25% of simulations where South Florida wins, B.J. Daniels averages 2.02 TD passes vs 0.46 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 1.04 TDs to 0.67 interceptions. Demetris Murray averages 81 rushing yards and 1.01 rushing TDs when South Florida wins and 73 yards and 0.57 TDs in losses. Louisville has a 40% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 82% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is LOU -8

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